الخميس، مارس 01، 2012

American gym teacher shot dead in Kurdish region

I heard a rumor that the argument was something about religion
An Iraqi student shot dead his American teacher and then killed himself in northern Iraq's autonomous Kurdish region Thursday following an argument, the provincial governor said.

"There was an argument between the student and his American teacher ... and as a result of that argument the student shot dead his teacher using a pistol he had, and then shot himself," said Sulaimaniya Province Governor Zana Mohammad Salih.

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هناك 17 تعليقًا:

   Lee C.  ―  U.S.A.    يقول...

Hamsters?

Lynnette In Minnesota يقول...

Sad. Given that the student subsequently shot himself there must have been something more going on there then an argument about religion. Maybe that was the catalyst, but there could have been some underlying emotional problems. You see it here where students shoot other kids at a school because of bullying issues.

Freddie Starr يقول...

Lynnette in Minnesota ate my hamster!

Freddie Starr يقول...

Freddie Starr ate my camel's toe!

BPB يقول...

I have been reading quite a few blogs since the Google Panda, You may find this Blog News story interesting if your blog has taken a hit in the traffic department in the last year. See who benefited the most the Google Panda Update.

Petes يقول...

Iraqi oil output continues to grow at a sluggish pace. Output grew by 270 thousand bpd from 2010 to 2011, but only by a further 75 thousand bpd to January 2012. It now stands at 2.75 million bpd -- about 0.5 mbpd higher than 2007 when it first exceeded pre-war levels.

OPEC February report:

http://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/publications/MOMR_February_2012.pdf

Marcus يقول...

And Iraq would be one of very few places in the world where we can reasonably hope for serious growth in oil output. I've been wondering if the Peak is actually upon us. We've got a sluggish economy in much of the industrialised world yet oil is well over $100/barrel. What would that mean if a serious economic recovery took place? Or is it even possible for a serious economic recovery unless oil output can be increased to lower the price?

Iraq is one of few places (except for total wildcards such as the Arctic region) that might be ramped up in the millions of barrels per day.

   Lee C.  ―  U.S.A.    يقول...

      "I've been wondering if the Peak is actually upon us."

Fear not.  Our Republicans (some of then anyway) are promising that they can increase American output enough to drive the cost of gasoline back down to $2.50 (American) a gallon and below.

Lynnette In Minnesota يقول...

*cough* *cough*

You may have missed our discussion regarding the Bakken region, Marcus. With new technology they are apparently having more success at recovering seemingly unrecoverable oil. While it may be too early to tell how the entire area will pan out, it is certainly too early to write it off.

Hmmm..."sectent", maybe they mean "sextant"?

Lynnette In Minnesota يقول...

Syria.

Serioualy, something has to be done about Syria. I understand the fear Russia feels about involvement in a sovereign country, but what is happening there is beyond attrocious. And if we leave the Al-Qaida types free run there we will regret it. So, that means we must do something concrete to attempt to hault the violence Assad is using against his people. A safe zone, perhaps? Safe corridors to allow people to reach it?

Lynnette In Minnesota يقول...

And if we leave the Al-Qaida types free run there we will regret it.

That, btw, would not be in Russia's interest either.

Petes يقول...

[Marcus]: "And Iraq would be one of very few places in the world where we can reasonably hope for serious growth in oil output. I've been wondering if the Peak is actually upon us. We've got a sluggish economy in much of the industrialised world yet oil is well over $100/barrel. What would that mean if a serious economic recovery took place? Or is it even possible for a serious economic recovery unless oil output can be increased to lower the price?"

"Iraq is one of few places (except for total wildcards such as the Arctic region) that might be ramped up in the millions of barrels per day."


I reckon Peak Oil is upon us Marcus. I don't know if it's strictly because of geophysical constraints, or because the oil producers of the world have decided it makes sense to spin out their resources as far as they can, and maximise revenue. I think it's both. Saudi might be able to squeeze another 2 mbpd if they wanted (they claim they can) but it would probably be heavy sour crude that they have difficulty selling. Their rig count is up substantially without any increase in output -- not a good sign. We'll probably see Iraq ramping up slowly, but whether they could ever make 10-12 mbpd is questionable. Good for them if they can -- they need the money.

The problem is that any such gains will probably be sucked up by Chindia et al. The US is having a temporary respite due to gains like the Bakken and Eagle Ford in Texas, but in the overall scheme of things those will not hold back the global peak by much, nor even the American decline, since Bakken output just about makes up for falls in output from the North Slope of Alaska. So maybe Americans can pay $4/USgal for a while more, instead of $6 or $10 or $20.

All that said, there are several things on the demand side that could lessen the impact of Peak, at least for some time. First of all, oil use habits will change perforce. The current depressed state of demand in the US and parts of Europe is a combination of sluggish economies and new efficiencies which will probably be fairly permanent. This is a purely price-driven change. Another strong possibility is a massive increase in the use of natural gas for fleet and municipal public transportation. For the time being, NG is coming out of everybody's ears.

I think it will be some time before we discover if economies are capable of growing with the current state of the energy supply. They're too busy being overwhelmed by debt to be able to tell.

Petes يقول...

On the other hand, for an diametrically opposite (and incredibly bullish) view, see this from Citigroup:

https://www.citigroupgeo.com/pdf/SEUNHGJJ.pdf

They reckon the US will add 5 mbpd to production in this decade from shale plays and deepwater GoM, while Canada adds another 1.6 mbpd which will be sold to the US, thus reducing US import dependence to a trickle. Can't bring myself to believe it, but I do tend to err on the side of pessimism.

Marcus يقول...

Pete: "I reckon Peak Oil is upon us Marcus. I don't know if it's strictly because of geophysical constraints, or because the oil producers of the world have decided it makes sense to spin out their resources as far as they can, and maximise revenue."

Possibly both. But there's also a third major factor: stability and security in countries like Iraq and Iran. Both could in theory ramp up oil output significantly and in the case of Iran a huge amount of NG as well. But in Iraq the security situation and political instability gets in the way and in Iran geo-politics makes investments currently impossible. But if those difficulties were resolved somehow then there's the possibility for a bump in production.

Then there's the opposite scenario where some of the fields we're counting on going forward suddenly shows sign of depletion. Like Gawahr in KSA, how reliable are figures for estimated reserves and the production lifespan? It's well known that OPEC members have had a tendency to exaggerate their reserves to maximise their production quota within OPEC, and that oil companies have done the same to boost their share price. So it's not beyond reason to expect that there could come some nasty surprises when the true figures eventually catch up.

Lynnette In Minnesota يقول...

They were talking about the Bakken on the news last night. Currently that region is producing about 530 thousand bpd. They would like to see 1 mbpd. We'll see.

Perhaps still looking good for alternative forms of energy.

[PeteS] Can't bring myself to believe it, but I do tend to err on the side of pessimism.

lol! No! I never would have thought that.

Hmmm...I just noticed that when you preview the comment doesn't show up in a colored field anymore, so I tend to think it hasn't worked. A new idiosyncracy to get used to.

   Lee C.  ―  U.S.A.    يقول...

Mitt Romney pronounces on Iranian nuclear ambitions.  Apparently he intends to scare them away.

Bridget يقول...

What Romney really ought to do is meet with them without precondition.